The Intelligence | Fired alarm - AI hype versus labour-market history
66 claims analyzed
Claims66
Several Chinese companies have shown interest in the Kabanga project and made bids for it.
U.S. support for Tanzania's government is conditional on progress on other projects involving American firms.
Job disruption in the United States and the United Kingdom in the middle of the twentieth century was much higher than job disruption during the Industrial Revolution.
U.S. support for Tanzania's government is conditional on progress on the Kabanga mine.
Some research suggests that real wages for the average person in Britain did not change during the period from about 1790 to 1840.
In the century after 1760, the number of Britons in work nearly tripled.
Job disruption in Britain increased from about the 1850s.
In preindustrial economies, population growth almost always meant declining real wages.
Real wages held steady during the Industrial Revolution despite rapid population growth.
In the United States, the unemployment rate of new graduates is higher than the overall unemployment rate for the first time ever.
Over the past thousand years, per-person GDP growth of the world's most technologically advanced country has never exceeded about 2% to 2.5% per year.
Kabanga in western Tanzania is perhaps the world's most valuable store of untapped nickel.
Chinese firms operating in Indonesia dominate most of the global nickel supply chain.
China has been the primary player in African critical minerals for the past 20 to 25 years.
China is becoming more amenable to African governments' requests to process raw materials locally.
The Africa Finance Corporation estimated Africa's untapped mineral wealth at about $9 trillion.
The average American worker believes they have about a one-in-five chance of losing their job in the next five years.
Steam engines good enough to power factories were invented in the 1760s and 1770s.
The share of English people working in agriculture has been falling for about 800 years.
The Kabanga nickel project is operated by Lifezone Metals.
The United States is trying to secure a greater role for American firms in mining in Zambia.
There is evidence that Chinese firms are doing more mineral processing on-site in Africa.
A poll found that about one in five American workers think AI is very or somewhat likely to replace them within the next five years.
New technologies have never spread through the economy fast enough to put large numbers of people out of work for a long time.
Recent scholarship casts doubt on Engel's Pause.
New technologies during the Industrial Revolution did not clearly destroy jobs.
Wage growth during the Industrial Revolution was not obviously slower than wage growth before the Industrial Revolution.
England has the longest-run data on agricultural employment.
Job disruption in the United States and the United Kingdom in the middle of the twentieth century was much higher than job disruption today.
The labor market position of new graduates started to weaken long before ChatGPT was released.
Nickel is used in stainless steel.
The Kabanga nickel deposits in Tanzania have been known about for at least 50 years.
Tanzania's economy tends to grow about 5% to 7% a year.
The second Trump administration is taking unprecedented steps to loosen China's perceived stranglehold on critical mineral supply chains.
China has followed a model of exporting ore from Africa rather than processing higher-value refined material locally.
Raw-material export bans in Africa risk reducing the investment that African countries need.
Baseball has been Japan's most popular sport for decades.
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has said AI could push unemployment as high as about 20%.
Bill Gates answered 'Not for most things' when asked whether humans would still be needed in an AI future.
The period from about 1790 to 1840 is known as Engel's Pause.
Productivity growth in the early part of the Industrial Revolution was weak.
Steam-powered technology took a long time to spread across the British economy.
Population growth during the early Industrial Revolution was rapid.
Productivity growth in the U.S. economy is not historically unprecedented.
Nickel is used in electric vehicle batteries.
The Kabanga nickel deposits in Tanzania are more than a billion years old.
The Kabanga nickel deposits in Tanzania have never been dug up.
Lifezone Metals is listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Tanzania experienced post-election unrest in the year before the episode.
Africa is a major part of the second Trump administration's plan on critical mineral supply chains.
The United States is trying to secure a greater role for American firms in mining in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
African countries are putting export bans on many raw materials.
Resource competition in Africa is intensifying.
Japan first qualified for the FIFA World Cup in 1998.
Japan has qualified for every FIFA World Cup since 1998.
Japan's best result at the FIFA World Cup is reaching the round of 16.
Japan reached the round of 16 at the FIFA World Cup in Qatar.
Japan reached the round of 16 at the FIFA World Cup in Russia.
Hajime Moriyasu has coached Japan's national football team since 2018.
Japan beat Spain at the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar.
Japan beat Germany 2-1 at the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar.
Japan is scheduled to play the Netherlands in the FIFA World Cup group stage discussed in the episode.
Japan is scheduled to play Tunisia in the FIFA World Cup group stage discussed in the episode.
Japan is scheduled to play Sweden in the FIFA World Cup group stage discussed in the episode.
Japan's domestic J League was created in the 1990s.