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Government as Shareholder: Proactive Competitive Strategy or Last Resort?

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Donald Trump Jr. backed an investment fund which bought shares at Vulcan. Three months later, Vulcan got huge funding from the Department of Defense. Was that on the economic merits or was

that because of a political [music] connection? >> If you're at the last resort, you've already screwed up and you have to break glass and take emergency measures to

deal with it was very expensive. Government ownership leads to more failures than successes. And this is a sovereign reality that we need to pay attention to in order not to repeat the

[music] mistakes. >> This is not about giving the government a blank check. The real question here is when a strategic industry is too important [music] to lose, will we act

early or only after the damage [music] is done? [applause] This is open to debate. I'm John Donvan. Delighted to be on stage in New York at

the headquarters of the Council on Foreign Relations, our continuing partner in a series of debates that examine the implications of decisions being made at the highest levels of

government and power. One such set of decisions making a lot of news right now is the burgeoning pattern of the US government taking stock of private American companies, buying stock into

those companies. It's all over the headlines. We're seeing it covered by the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The Economist, foreign affairs, and many more. Companies that are being bought

include the Chipmaker, Intel, an array of mining enterprises. Now, this is not the first time, of course, that the government has bought pieces of private business. It has happened in wartime. It

happened during the financial crisis where Uncle Sam ended up with stock in banks and General Motors and Chrysler and the insurance giant AIG. But those were always in response to an emergency.

And by design, they were temporary. Now it's more about national security and competition with China and technological supremacy. A contest that is built around microchips and rare earth

minerals. So that's different this time. Also different is the sense that this is not temporary. that the US government may be in the chip business and in the mining business indefinitely. So what

about this? What do we need to be aware of about these moves that perhaps is not so obvious until we hear the pros and the cons argued out? That's what we intend to discover with the debaters on

this stage who will hash it out around this precise question. Government as shareholder, proactive competitive strategy or last resort. Let's begin by meeting our debaters. First, I want to

welcome Bob Posen. Uh Bob, you are the former president at Fideli Investments. You are currently at MIT Sloan School of Management and the Brookings Institution. You also worked with uh

George W. Bush, Mitt Romney. You are at the SEC. Uh you wrote a book called Extreme Productivity. Bob, I want to welcome you to Open to Debate. >> Thank you. [applause]

>> And my my question for you with your book Extreme Productivity, why does Productivity Need to be extreme? Well, it's a word play on extreme sports and my editor thought the title would

appeal to readers who are modestly productive and wanted to become much more productive. >> And did it all work out? >> Uh, we sold a lot of copies and it's now

translated into 12 languages. So, something good happened. >> Congratulations to you for that. Your your partner I want to welcome is Yang Hang who also is at MIT Sloan. Um, Yang,

you taught at Harvard. You are a consultant at the World Bank. You have written 12 books. That's a lot of books. And you've also debated with us before about the tech cold war with China. I

remember that debate well. But I'm curious, will you be using anything you learned from that debate in your arguments today? >> Yeah. One thing I think is the size of

the action is no guarantee for the results of the action. >> Okay. Preview of the argument you're going to make. Thanks very much for for that thought. And um on the other side

of the debate, I want to welcome Laura Taylor Khalle. Laura, you are the first assistant secretary of defense of industrial base policy. You've also worked at the Department of Commerce.

You've worked at the World Bank. You have your own advisory firm. You're a senior fellow here at CFR. Welcome to the program. Uh you began your State Department career uh as a diplomat in

India and the Ivory Coast and Afghanistan. Which was the most challenging? >> Oo. Um I think I will say that Kotvar was probably the most challenging. Um in

part because you were going through a very tough democratic um transition and seeing a country dealing with the fragility of its institutions really up close really

um uh you know brought to mind how how how challenging it can be to maintain a democracy. >> Interesting powerful lessons. Last, I want to welcome Richard Falconrath. I

want to welcome back Richard Falconrath because you are this is your fourth debate with us. You're a four-timer there. >> That's that's a lot of debates. Um you

have worked in counterterrorism and the world's largest hedge fund. Uh you advised George W. Bush on homeland security. Uh you're now a senior fellow at CFR. You're teaching a new course at

Johns Hopkins about the American presidency. Just curious, which president do you feel is the most underrated? >> I think James Pulk. Uh Pulk is an

interesting president. He he came into office. He said, "I have four things I'm going to do." And he did them. Said, "I'm going to serve one term." And he did. And then he left.

>> That all worked out for him. >> Yeah. Well, he died very quickly after. He's the shortest post presidency of any president, but other than that, he was a pretty good one.

>> This would be a great trivia contest. [laughter] Well, thank you everybody for being here. I want to point out to people who are listening and watching that our live

audience here at the Council on Foreign Relations is playing a critical role tonight. We have asked for their opinion on this topic. We've asked them to vote to tell us where they stand on the

question. And we're going to ask them again after the debate. And we will get those results in real time and see which side has changed the most minds tonight. So that makes this a competition, a

friendly one. Uh but it also means we have some rules. No personal attacks. Stay on topic. Listen to what the other side is actually saying. The debaters here are here to show that we can

disagree with each other in good faith. So let's do that and let's get started. We're going to go to our opening statements. And first up making an opening statement on the question that's

up before us. Uh government shareholder proactive competitive strategy or last resort. Laura Taylor is arguing proactive competitive strategy. Laura, the floor is yours.

>> Thank you. >> Thank you and welcome tonight. Uh this debate is about more than just economics. It is about whether the United States will act with urgency to

protect its security, its supply chains, and its future. Yes, the government has tools. We have loans. We have grants. We have purchase commitments. But sometimes these tools are just a bit too timid for

the challenges that are ahead of us. When a critical industry needs hundreds of millions of dollars to survive and scale, taxpayers should not be expected to write the check and then surrender

all influence over the outcome. In national security, waiting for government becomes the last resort, becoming the being the last resort is really not

prudent. uh in fact it is failure delayed. By the time uh strategic weakness becomes a crisis, the cost is higher, the the options are fewer and our adversaries have moved far ahead. So

I understand the instinctive objection that we have to the government being the shareholder and company. America believes in markets. We believe private capital is usually smarter, faster, and

more efficient than government. And most of the time that's true. But national security is not most of the time. Markets do not automatically invest in resilience. Markets do not automatically

protect strategic capacity. And markets do not automatically move at the speed of geopolitical competition. When the return is uncertain, the timeline is long and the stakes are

national. the market can hesitate precisely when the country cannot. So let's take a look at rare earth processing. China did not build dominance in that sector by accident and

it's not a niche issue. Rare earths are inside all of our advanced weapon systems in medical technologies and the devices that power our everyday life including all these iPhones that we had

to turn off to be here at the council. So when we allow a strategic dependency like that to deepen, we're not choosing efficiency. We're choosing exposure. That is that is why I believe minority

government stakes and private companies should be on the table. Not as a default, not as ideology, not as a last resort, but as a strategic tool for strategic problems. If the if public is

in investing massive sums to secure a critical industry, then the public deserves accountability, visibility, and a real seat at the table. Loans help, grants help, advanced purchase

commitments help, but sometimes they're not enough to build the market, to anchor production, and keep a vital capability alive. But equity can do that. It allows government to move

earlier, act more decisively, and stay engaged long enough to make sure that the investment actually pays off. So, let me be clear. This is not about giving the government a blank check.

It's not an argument about favoritism or opacity or permanent government control. The real question here is when a strategic industry is too important to lose, will we act early or only after

the damage is done? In defense of national security, uh government can always cannot always afford to be the lender of last resort. Sometimes it just has to be early and it needs to be

organized. Thank you. [applause] >> Thank you. Up our next speaker is going to be Bob Posen. Bob is taking the opposite side saying that government a

shareholder should be a last resort. Bob, the floor is yours. [clears throat] >> Thank you. So my position is that the government should be a shareholder only

as a last resort. In 2008, for example, the government had to take some shares in big banks in order to avoid an economic collapse. But not that's not the situation now. The

government is buying company shares in an attempt to pick winners. The Trump administration has made at least 10 equity investments without an economic plan, without an

exit strategy, without transparent procedures. In my view, this is discretionary state capitalism. Discretionary state capitalism, which is bad for the economy and worse for our

democracy. Government bureaucrats cannot do not have the skills necessary to pick economic winners. For example, the government made a big investment in a company that claimed to have a new

approach to energy storage. Within three years, that company went bankrupt. And it's especially difficult for the company to pick economic winners in

industries with fastchanging technologies. Who in this room can predict with confidence the winners in the race for self-driving cars or AI bots?

Moreover, the process of government investing is highly problematic. The [clears throat] president of Intel met with Donald Trump and Donald Trump demanded that the government get 10% of

Intel shares. A few days later, he personally bought millions of dollars of Intel bonds. Now CEOs are reportedly afraid to meet with the president. What will be the next target of equity

investment? Will it be software, hardware biotech? And will the government insist on having a veto over company decisions as it did in the US steel uh transaction.

My opponent invokes the term national security to justify equity ownership by the government. But national security has become a meaningless term.

National security is the premise for the new tariffs on baby strollers and golf carts. Why? Because they contain aluminum and a little steel. Under that crazy logic, the president could deem

any industry to be a national security threat. Bob, I'm sorry. Your time is up. >> Okay. >> Thank you very much. [applause] [applause]

>> Our our next speaker is swinging back to the side arguing for proactive competitive strategy in terms of government shareholders, Richard Falconroth. Richard, the floor is yours.

>> Thank you, John. Thank you. Um, look, this the this is a complicated topic. This is not a topic that's easy to distill to a simple conceptual presence and is easily distracted by what the

Trump administration is doing. So if this were a referendum on the sensibility of the Trump administration's economic policies, we'll just throw in a towel right now.

Like that's not what this is about, right? What this is about, I mean this is a this is a higher level proposition about the use of equity which is an instrument of economic policy

proactively rather than reactively at the very end in a crisis. Um it's been it was started it's happened under many administrations and yes the president the current president is using it.

there's 15 or 16 deals underway without a clear legislative framework and there's undoubtedly lots of problems and that that's not what we're here to defend. We're here to ask a sort of

different question which is given what the United States is up against these days and the challenges we face with AI and space and chips and all these other things [snorts] do we really want to

leave this instrument off the table as an instrument I mean think equity first of all share you hold shares for different reasons right there's an economic reason most of you have a 401k

it has stocks you hold that because you're getting an economic return for it that's not what we're talking about here there's another reason you hold stair it's for governance rights if you're In

private equity or venture capital, you hold shares as a means to get access to the inside information going on in a company and to influence its decisions before they are made. So then I ask you

how many of you are completely comfortable that the public right now has enough fornowledge of what the most important companies in the world are doing with their products and the

decisions and that the public through its elected officials has an ability to influence those decisions in a way that makes sense for the national interest. And now if you're comfortable with that,

if you say, "Yeah, we're good. We know enough and we'll just take whatever decision they make in their boardroom without telling anyone who's been elected." uh if you're good with that

then you're not you're you're not really in this debate. You've already made up your mind. It's unnecessary. You're not in favor of economic intervention on these things. But if you are thinking

well maybe yeah no I'm not entirely comfortable with what Palanteer is doing or SpaceX is going to do when it's the largest IPO of all time or what anthropic is going to do that I'm not

entirely comfortable that then ask okay what instruments are at our disposal to do that and I'll tell you they're not very good they're not fit to purpose regulation in these cases will not work

it comes after the decisions already been made and the products we're deploying is litigated forever will not work to break these companies up for that um tax incentives and loans are

just moving it at the margins. These these are companies with multi-t trillion dollar capitalizations. And so you have to say by process of elimination, what instruments work? And

by getting an equity stake in a company, you actually have the ability to get an inside track on what's really happening there and in principle influence it. And the best example that we have is the

steel company where there's a golden chair uh that permits US steel to continue operating, but it's not the only example. So that's what I think is the essential conceptual premise of this

is do you think we have enough influence over these vast companies and if so are you open to using this as one of your one piece of your economic toolkit [applause]

and rounding out the opening round I want to welcome to the stage Yang Hang who is arguing on the side of last resort. The floor is yours. [applause] Responding to China doesn't mean that we

have to copy China. During the cold war, we didn't copy central planning from USSR. During the height of competition with Japan, we didn't copy the caressu

organization of firms in Japan. And a accurate knowledge of China is very ne is necessary for us to do it right to answer this question right. You may be surprised to learn that the most

competitive firms in China such as Deepseek, BYD, Alibaba are not stateowned and in fact there are massive state-owned failures in that country. One example is that the Chinese

government created a search engine and embarrassingly for that search engine today, it has a lower market share than Google which is banned in China. State ownership is just unbelievably

inefficient. We shouldn't confuse the size of the Chinese economy, the infrastructure, the highways with efficiency. If you want to triple the cost of capital to produce one unit of

GDP, you copy China. If you want to create technologies that don't translate into productivity, you also want to copy China. But I would argue these are not the results we desire. Worldwide, the

evidence is super clear. Government ownership leads to more failures than successes. And this is a sobering reality that we need to pay attention to in order to not to repeat the mistakes.

If a government in a democratic society makes wrong investment and ownership decisions, it damages the credibility and the legitimacy of the government. I believe that kind of damage has far more

severe consequences on our political system, on our government system because it undermines the credibility and the legitimacy of our government to do other things that are absolutely necessary for

the government to do. Unlike China, we have very high standards for accountability and the standards and cred and if the credibility is damaged and this entire

economy builds on credibility rather than on command and control by the government. Government has and is needed to provide many valuable and important functions

such as mitigating against risks, regulation, social protection and supporting basic research and providing basic public goods. But owning and running enterprises

is not the best capability on the part of the government and we should leave that to the private sector. >> Sorry, I've hit time. >> Yeah, let me end by saying I'm not a

libertarian and I'm not opposed to government doing anything in the economy, but we should do it as a last resort. Thank you. >> Thank you very much. [applause]

All right, that concludes our opening round. And now we move into a round of more free- flowing conversation discussion where the debaters can question one

another, challenge one another, in fact, politely interrupt one another. Um, but we kick off with questions from me. In the beginning, as I've listened to the opening statements, I just want to say

what I I have heard the arguments shape up as. Uh, we've heard this this side that's arguing for uh government ownership as a strategic move. Um, that this is really about national security.

This is not like uh past situations in which the government has become involved in ownership. That um uh markets are uh everybody appreciates markets but markets are just not good or

incentivized good at or incentivized to deliver security. That tools like grants and loans simply have not been enough. Uh that not to do this now would be failure delayed because the pace at

which technology is moving. They also make the case that shares share ownership gives the taxpayer gives the government an insight into what these companies are doing. So there's a little

bit of a sense of distrust of the companies the tech companies themselves in a sense that they need to have some kind of guidance from the inside and that traditional regulation uh is not a

solution for that. The team on on on the other side are arguing we just heard the case made uh that China is an example of um examples were cited of companies that uh have been state controlled in China

and have been done very very poorly. um that there have been severe consequences for those companies um and that uh in general that the government doesn't have a very good track record uh with

bureaucrats trying to pick winners that they just don't have the skills for that that it's um all in all it would be dis discrediting uh to the uh United States to the government uh to its economic

system to start to go down this road. So that's what I heard from all of you talking about this, but I want to um I want to go to uh first to Laura. Um your opponent making the case that going down

this way would lose credibil the United States would lose credibility. Can you respond to to that argument that Hashang just made? >> Sure. Thank you. Uh, I think it's

important to to realize that it's not that the United States is completely isolated in this area and that it's the only country that's that's facing these questions. It's actually the entire

world. Um, a recent World Bank report even showed us that uh the use of government minority stakes in companies is actually far more prevalent um around the world than we pre previously

thought. government has been taking an a strong role in business particularly in the defense sector since the beginning. This actually goes back to Alexander Hamilton and the report of

manufacturers. So the idea that we just don't do this and that uh you know even for national security is just false and that we >> let me take that very point very sharply

argued points to the other side. Well, the government has been involved with [clears throat] companies for in different sorts of ways. It's regulated them. It's subsidized them. It's given

them tax credits. Uh it's brought enforcement actions against them. Uh there actually hasn't been a huge amount of government share investments in companies historically in the United

States. This is a new phase. And let me say this. I think the our opponents misunderstand what are the rights of a shareholder. Think about this. The index funds hold

over 30% of most publicly traded companies. Do they have access to inside information? Do they have as access to companies secrets? The answer is no. And there's a regulation, an SEC regulation

FD that says if a company gives an analyst a piece of material information, it must post it on its website in order to make sure that everybody has it. On the other

hand, the government has lots of ways of getting information early other than share ownership. It can demand reports. It can meet with executives. It can serve subpoenas. So, it doesn't need

share ownership. Share ownership doesn't add anything to its ability to extract information early if that's the critical point. When you define the purpose of this the way I did, you would never say

the government should get common stock. Like that's what we're talking that's what our opponent was just talking about. Yeah. Yeah. Common stock. You get no information. You just have some

economic benefits. Maybe what we're talking about here are particular kinds of rights that come from different classes of shares. And there's plenty of those. There's lots of them. There would

be no VC industry if it weren't possible for founders and equity investors to get access to the inner workings of those companies. A golden chair is exactly this and there's lots of practical. A

golden chair, it's just a it's a term of phrase. It's it's a governance share that essentially can trump others on particular issues. And so the only reason now that US Steel is still, you

know, capitalized the way it is is because the US government now has a golden chair in US Steel which is otherwise owned by Nippon Steel. And so there are many different ways to do

this. I I will readily acknowledge it would be far better if we had a legislative framework that governed this. So it was clear rules of the road and we could see the categories of

things for which the government should be involved. Completely agree. I think that'd be a great thing for Congress to work on and we don't really have that. But there's plenty of different share

classes that can accomplish this that aren't just common stock. Can I respond to the golden chair argument? So the golden need my permission. >> Yeah. The golden chair uh gives the

government an incredibly intrusive role in the company. Uh it can make any decision and overturn any decision of the company. And just think the government used its golden share already

to stop a plant closing. That's a pretty micro decision. So the golden share is exactly what people worry about when they talk about government ownership. >> There's some people worry about that.

There's a lot more people I worry about Elon Musk having sole control over some of the most strategically important companies in the world. Sole control being unfirable in the terms of his new

IPO. But I'd say SpaceX might be one of the most strategically important companies that have ever existed on time and nobody has a golden chair or any influence on that except him on that.

And so what do you like? Yes, there are problems with the government being intrusively involved in corporate decision-making. It might not do layoffs. It might not do lots of other

things. There's some problems. The but the test is not what is the perfect solution. It is what is a better solution than the status quo. Laura, your your opponents are also making the

case that um uh it's putting aside the national security question. It's a bad it's a bad economic and financial situation that that as they put it, the government can't pick winners. Um, and

Yang has gone through some examples of China, despite its reputation for being successful at state capitalism, of companies that have been disasters when when the government got involved that

you you're you're saying the market can't deliver security. They're not incentivized, but they're saying the market can't figure out the government is not as good as the market at picking

winners. >> I don't think that this is a question about the government picking a winner. I think that this is a question of the government helping to shape the market

in a way that uh benefits uh the national defense and national security in particular sectors. So you know the question the the example that I think Bob you mentioned of a company that went

bust after receiving a loan from the government was Celindra and uh that's sort of the case that's always used to talk about you know the worst thing that can happen but there have been plenty of

other examples of the government intervening and putting in smaller amounts of capital grants loans things like that and if the the companies have not gone bust I think in the case of

that we're talking about now where the government is take is is proposing to take take shares is really also about the fact that we're looking at larger sums of money. You know, we're not

talking about a million dollars or $2 million in a grant that could be uh used to catalyze other other capital. We're we're talking about companies getting 400 500 million a billion dollars in uh

in concessional loans or grants from the government and there really needs to be a sense of accountability for it. I think the issues that the other side raised about how the government um acts

the bureaucrats these can all be dealt with in terms of creating a real uh set of guard rails and having institutions in place to govern this. Right now we're acting like it's the wild wild west.

>> I I think it's very important to be precise about what we're talking about. The debate in front of us is about the shareholding role of the government. It is not about a general role of the

government. Government has been involved with the companies in terms of regulation in terms of information disclosure in in in terms of supporting them early grants and subsidies but

taking ownership share of companies. That is a substantially different step from all the ones that we are familiar with and that has many many complex implications down the road that we

should be very careful about. So take us through two one for one implication that that down the road we would need to be careful about. >> Well so government for better or worse

is a much more complex entity as compared with a company. So Richard mentioned venture capital and venture capital has a very straightforward objective function. We may criticize

their objective function but they are going in for profits and profits alone. Government by its very nature cannot focus just on one objective function. They have to take care of many many

other things. When you have such a complex objective goals for the government, it is very hard for them to judge the performance of the management on the basis of a

single metric. Right? Once you have multiple metrics, you kind of dilute the corporate nature and the managerial managerial nature of the company. >> I'll readily agree this will be unusual

and we certainly don't want it on all companies. We don't want stateowned companies. We don't want the Chinese economy. Uh but I'd say that thing that the government has a broader set of

interest in a VC firm is a feature, not a bug. It's actually a good thing. like we need someone in these in these rooms uh affecting these companies because they are so impactful on American

society and the American national security and we need some mechanism that it and that to influence and shape that that isn't just jawboning them or calling them up or regulating them after

the fact or trying to break them up in an antitrust case that never works or taxing them or whatever. The thing is our claim is not this is a perfect instrument that should be used on all

companies all the time. It is for select strategic industries as Laura explained to be used as part of the toolkit for government to deal with the second order effects of the power and impact and

importance of these companies which is extreme. And what we're mostly saying is there should not be an ideological refusal to consider it proactively. >> So right right now Richard would you

like to see the US take a share in Starlink Elon Musk? >> Well Starink is just a business line in this massive IPO and So let me let me phrase it a little bit differently is I

I do think there are extensive public interest in Starlink, SpaceX, the AI companies extensive and I do think that we have to ask ourselves seriously what is our what are our tools for

influencing them long term and within that and I I'm not proposing this sort of this just flippantly is I do think we have to look at the full range of possibilities and some sort of

governance rights the likes of which the early stage investors actually do have for the government I think is a reasonable thing to do. >> Can I respond to that? SpaceX is a

government contractor. Almost all of its revenue comes from the government as a contractor. As a government contractor, the government can impose any conditions it wants, including all information

rights, much more extensive than a shareholder. And they can impose those conditions before SpaceX gets the contract. so they can get the information as early as they want. So

buying 10% of SpaceX doesn't give you any more rights for information than you would have as a government contractor because you have total control over the contract.

>> You don't have total control. You look at what RTX I mean like RTX is only exists because of government contracts. Former Rathon and they're doing share buybacks. Like the government doesn't

want them to do share buybacks. So SpaceX, it is true, it is mostly from the government. They would have a hard time operating their business without government. But there are other

companies that do not. Anthropic doesn't get any revenue from the US government. >> If the if I'd also like to redirect this because I think it's easy to get focused on these

some of these big companies and big names. And really the issue that we're that I'm arguing and that we're trying to really resolve is there are certain industries and areas that are so

important for national defense and national security. they cross different lines. So again, I brought up the rare earth example. If we had uh been able to say 15 years ago to uh use equity

authority to be able to help, you know, spur the market and be able to to to move things along much quickly and using larger infusions of cash, we probably wouldn't be in the same place that we're

in right now in terms of our vulnerabilities with respect to rare earth. The United States used to be uh a number one exporter of rare earth rare earth magnets and now we're we're really

trying to we're playing more than just you know catch up. We're trying to deal with the strategic vulnerability. So it's not just companies and space

15 years ago we could have subsidized rare earth companies. We could have given them tax credits. We could have given them loans. We could have reduced environmental regulation so they would

have an incentive to do that. We didn't do any of that. So it's not that we didn't have share ownership 15 years ago. We didn't use any of the tools. And since we didn't use any of the tools, we

have a problem now. And that's not because the government didn't do something didn't have share ownership 15 years ago. It's because we didn't do a whole range of things. And those are the

things that we need to do. >> These tools are what you're mentioning. You're you're listing out the range of tools that we have. That's what we're saying is that equity should be part of

the set of tools and in that toolkit that the government has to be able to intervene. >> I think Bob is absolutely right on this issue just historically and empirically.

15 years ago, 20 years ago, there was no intention for this country to keep the rare earth industry in America. It was considered incredibly dirty, right? >> It was considered as incredibly

environmentally damaging. >> We were overjoyed 15 years ago that industry migrated to other countries and so I think that's a totally different debate.

>> It's really it's really I think the the essence of the rare earth point is not a historical one like why this happened. that's going forward. How do we have patient capital to recreate an industry

which we need strategically that wouldn't the market will not produce on its own? Full stop. And that in that when that's a hard strategic problem that is our lots of people's fault for

having but is a hard real problem. It would be foolish to leave equity off the table as you try to solve that problem. >> So but you have to be prepared to argue that reversing history requires this

particular step. Right? So I think you have rather than using other instruments and tools that we have and one unintended consequence of government taking ownership in this industry is

that it may impede innovations in new materials that there are companies working on new materials. In Japan, Japanese government is encouraging by supporting basic research on new

materials. By having government take ownership in this industry may imp may have this adverse implications for new players coming into this indust to completely revolutionize this industry.

>> Yeah, we're actually seeing the absolute opposite happen. If you look at a report that my colleague here at the council on foreign relations put out Heidi Krebber where she talks about uh innovation and

leapfrogging on the critical minerals and rare earth issue. There is actually a lot of innovation happening in the technology sector with with respect to this and some of the actions that the

government is taking with equity are in these some of these innovative areas. It's not just about looking at old old ways of mining and old ways of doing things, but it's actually innovating in

the is actually funding and looking at ways of of uh innovating and building up new types of technologies and new ways of processing. >> Laura, one one argument that your

opponents did not put in front of you, but I know it's part of this conversation would be the moral hazard conflict of interest. The government is is both owns and regulates an industry.

That sounds like the beginning of a problem. I think that there's uh conflict of interest is even beyond that. So you have, you know, a a particular problem where questions about

transparency, about political influence, about whether or not um family members are benefiting from it. Look, these are all institutional problems and issues that really Congress should be willing

to step forward and uh create the set of guard rules that are necessary and that the American public should be demanding it as well. In order for this to work and and its ideal, Congress needs to do

its job. We should have transparency and anti-corruption monitoring. There should be absolute statutes that really outline and and push back on any conflicts of interest in these companies. But

moreover uh I referred to earlier World World Bank reporting on you know the extent of government minority stakes around the world. One of the best practices that they note is having an

independent agency that's at arms length from political influence. That's the absolute opposite of what we have right now. So if we look at the Federal Reserve and its resilience even if it's

uh been under siege for a year or more but it is withstanding the pre the political pressure that is being put on it. That's actually the kind of steps that Congress needs to take in order to

make this uh create the guards that are necessary for this to be >> successful. Bob, you said in your opening that while your opponents are citing national security that national

security has become meaningless. >> Correct. But as you hear them making their argument, do you think they're talking about a range of issues that are meaningless?

>> Well, I think there are things that are national security. The problem is we have allowed the government and many governments to do it, not just Republicans, to redefine national

security. So, it's so elastic and so vague that we're letting the government do anything. >> So, your argument is that if I didn't mean to suppress your uh Um, so

your argument is that a trend towards uh government ownership in Jerry's could could go way beyond the the the realm that they're talking about.

>> Right. And I do want to Yes. Correct. I do want to mention one other big negative about the government taking share ownership. >> Yeah.

>> And that is there is something that's called in the industry the government moat. And by that means once the government anoints some company through share ownership as the national champion

or the leader, other companies don't want to get into that line of business. They're afraid. They they can't raise capital. They complain of that. And so uh it's not just what happens

[clears throat] to that company. It's the impact on the competitive by the competiti by the government mode on competition. >> We're certainly not arguing there are no

drawbacks to government and we're from both of us are familiar with the literature. We like this is classic kind of from Hayek. I mean like it's well known that government intervention in

the economy is problematic, often creates dead weight loss, not the best way to get total factor productivity, like all that stuff, right? We're just saying it's not the only consideration

and that it we should not for ideological reasons essentially refuse to consider this instrument when we're trying to solve hard strategic problems. And the rare thing is a hard strategic

problem and we need to shorten that as quickly as we we can and it would just I we're just arguing that we understand there are drawbacks to this. >> Both sides are both sides are saying

there are trade-offs in in this choice that's being made here today and you're you where you differ is where the bal where it balances out. >> I think Richard is right that we

shouldn't just use one criterion to frame the discussion. National security is important and the government should defend the national security. The question is whether or not the national

security automatically implies government ownership as the best option to defend the country's national security. Definitely not our question. We're not saying one of the biggest

threats to our national security is social media, right? So foreign influences using social media to interfere with the election to create fake news. Does that imply that the

government should take ownership of the social media? So I think we should have some discipline on the boundary conditions with which that we use to judge the government's action rather

than just throwing out a general broad argument to support anything that >> I don't think [clears throat] I've heard your opponent say that this is the solution that you am I correct that your

position is a little bit more nuanced than that? >> Yeah. No, it certainly and we and we by the way I agree with with Bob's point that national security as a general

excuse for lots of broad economic policies has been overused and I hope we're not doing that here tonight and we are not saying that we should we should have controlling interests in frankly

any company. We're talking about minority stakes with special rights. >> Okay, I'd like to go to some questions. Sir, uh I'm looking right at you. If you could stand up, the person with the mic

will find you. Thanks. >> Thank you. I'm David Brontri Institute for Computational Hermeneutics. >> Could Could you hold your mic a little bit higher? Thanks.

>> Yes. >> Thanks. >> Um we are at the Council on Foreign Relations. I have heard uh examples cited regarding

China. But that's about it. And um I also believe Laura Te Taylor you've mentioned that uh there are other countries in the world where government intervention is

uh prevalent. My question is how effective has been government intervention in shareholding elsewhere particularly in Europe. Okay. The differential of growth between

Europe and America over the last 15 years has been huge. And in Europe, you have >> I'm going to stop you there because you're now making your argument and I

like you had a question. >> My question my question is very simple. >> How do you assess the efficiency and effectiveness of government intervention elsewhere in Europe in particular?

>> I think it's a great question. Uh so how effective uh government interventions particularly in equity have been around the world really depends on the institutional

structures that are in place. Um in places where there's weak institutions where there for instance the treasury department or the line ministries are the ones that are making the deals.

That's where you see the most inefficiencies. um in places where you have much more independence uh independent agencies that are in charge of this, that's where it's actually

works better. And I think that this is where we in the United States need to be thinking about this particular moment that we're in, where the administration is taking actions and doing so in an

environment where our institutions are particularly weaker, where Congress hasn't actually created any set of u ground rules around around equity. >> I I think the evidence is clear. Look at

the European telecom companies. They were owned by the government for years and they've been [clears throat] highly inefficient, very low levels innovation. Compare that to the telecoms companies

in the US. It's not even a close call. And second of all, when you have lots of government intervention, uh our colleagues can say uh they don't have strong guard rails. Well, let's

look at Hungary. Let's look at uh Venezuela. Let's look at lots of places where they don't have good carterails. The the reality is when the government has ownership, it's very vulnerable to

political manipulation and cronyism. Yes, we can provide guard rails, but it's not easy. >> I don't disagree with that. But I also think what you're talking about are

places where the government has almost total ownership or majority ownership. We're not talking about that. We're not even saying that that should be the case, nor that that it should be the

case in most industries. We're talking about specific sectors where there are real implications for national defense and the government having minority stakes in it.

>> Just just on performance, I think the evidence is very super clear. The best ruan stateowned enterprise is probably Tamastic in Singapore and this is run by a government that is incredibly

meritocratic that is focused on economic performance and GDP. 100%. But if you look at their investment portfolio, it is overwhelmingly weighted toward less

risky projects and late projects extremely conservative investment portfolio and their performance and the returns of the capital are relatively modest as compared with the private

counterpart. So the the state ownership the evidence is very very clear. I don't think losing money is good for so for for national security, right? The US government has built up the most

powerful military machinery in the world with this incredibly ingenious combination of public support in terms of basic research in terms of defense contracts and with the initiatives.

>> But is losing money inevitable? Well, I mean, if you look back at the uh the tarp rescue for 2008, those were those those turned out to be profitable for for the US government.

>> Yeah. But those are last resort interventions right? >> And and I think it's very important to put that clearly. Uh financial h

that's our last resort in a crisis where the American people were the ones that were suffering. There were millions of people that lost their homes. Absolutely.

>> Those people didn't get a return because of that. So, we're talking about what we're talking about here is protecting public interest here by using equity stakes, minority stakes in a way that is

not doing it at the last minute when there's an absolute crisis. >> Laura, I agree with you that the 2008 bailout was badly structured. I agree with you. Yeah.

>> All right. I'm I'm I'm when I'm pointing to asking folks to stand up is so the mic can get to you quickly. Thanks. Hi, I'm Ginger. I'm a term member here at CFR. Um, I want to broaden our

conversation on national security to a time in recent memory when our society felt very much under threat and our way of life was extremely altered, which is of course the pandemic. And I'm curious

if the side arguing for believes that we would have had better outcomes had the government had a proactive equity stake in pharmaceutical companies or uh the vaccine companies and if you think that

we would be safer going forward if we had learned that lesson and maintained some sort of controlling interest going forward. >> Um it's a superb question. Uh and I

think honestly the answer is probably not. Uh and the reason for that is that the the operation to produce these vaccines to co was extraordinary. By historical standards, the vaccine

industry has never seen anything like it. I mean, they they went from a a disease emerging in the world to a shot in people's arm in like a year or something like it never even been close

to that. So, it would be foolish for anyone to say that any particular change to that ecosystem would have done it faster because it's never been done that fast before, ever.

>> But luckily, the government actually had the tools to be able to to to intervene. And so Operation Warp Speed, which helped um fund the the the vaccine, was one of the most effective uses of some

of these uh equity, some of these authority tools that were that were that we've been talking about. >> I think the pandemic case also illustrates another dynamic that that is

almost not known uh outside of outside of a few people. The Trump administration imposed tariffs on Chinese products. As a result, before the pandemic,

hospitals understood medical equipment and medical supplies. Of course, pandemic didn't happen yet, but they were caught extremely unprepared because of the action of the

Trump administration to reduce the flow of the trade from China. So on national security ground, they imposed trade barriers. That action undermined the security of American society.

>> You're saying they weren't on those tariffs are imposed on national security. >> Yeah. So there's a paper by the researchers at the Peterson Institute of

Econ International Economics that shows that hospitals under stockpiled and therefore they were underprepared even for the normal time let alone the pandemic. The the useful thing about

this question for our our argument uh is to show that we're not claiming it for everything. Like we're not saying it should every national problem comes along, every important company we should

go grab a share that we should have. We're being very very specific. We're not making these big sweeping claims about state ownership. And we understand there are drawbacks to it.

>> But you're but you're also not saying it's a last resort. You're saying >> we're not we think that it should be it should be proactive. It should be in the toolbox when you get to the table to

figure out what to do with a serious national problem. >> Sir, Mike's coming to the front row, please. Philip Ellison, um, when you talk about being proactive and we're

talking also about spending taxpayer money, money which doesn't exist because we've got a $ 38 billion deficit right now. Now, what about the question of governance? What about with things like

social security and Medicare going bust? What if they were the if those entities those those administrations were in in fact the beneficiaries of any ownership of of of public companies? In other

words, that if if the if any uh you know in profit anything that would come to the government would go really to fund those things which basically are we're we're in danger. Talk about national

security. We've got a huge population that's that's actually very exposed. It is it's an interesting question and then the current administration is talking about it. They seem to be very

interested in the gain the return on these investments when they do it for this purpose. It doesn't move the needle. The number is actually 38 trillion, not 38 billion. So it doesn't

it doesn't move the needle, right? You didn't have to have so much to to actually do it. But it it is interesting to ask like if all the money we spent on the defense contractors, if we converted

that to equity stakes and held on to them, the enterprise value would then be on the US government balance sheet. I'm not necessarily saying to do that, but I think you put an interesting idea on the

table which is thought of over the long term. Are these things actually national assets in an economic sense? That was not the core of our argument. I I want to be clear, but I'm glad that you

raised it and put on the table. >> So when we say proactive, one implication is that the government should act early, should invest early. >> That's what you're saying, right? Let's

let's look at the track record of early investors and these are private sector investors, right? The VC industry is famous for having nine or 10 out of the 10 projects going bust but one earning

huge amount of uh uh uh profits to cover the losses of these other uh investment project. I don't think a government should do that. Government should not play Russian roulette because the money

with the government is supposed to go to the people who can least afford the the security should go to the education should go to the provision of the public goods. You don't want to play with that

kind of high variance when the public interests are involved. >> If if you wanted to >> I want to I want to respond to that. If you wanted to have government investment

that helped social security, which I was very involved with, you would have the government invest in a broad-based diversified index fund. You wouldn't have the government into venture

capital. That's the way various people who thought about this realized would be a much better deal for the government, much better return, much more diversified, not the sort of crazy risk

that venture capital takes. I I want to go back to the point that Ashing raised about um venture capital and sort of the risks that are taken um and that the government is not in

the right the right per the right entity to really take all those kinds of risks and I don't I think that it's important to note that for the purposes of a government having minority stakes and

companies I don't think this should be about the financial gain and financial return the money should eventually go back into the treasury. But uh we're also talking about you know you don't

know how long it will take. It'll take may take uh you know a couple of months as in the case uh supposedly with L3 Harris or it could take months or it could take years or it could take you

know decades even. But I think that uh you know the argument that the government shouldn't take any bets at all is one that just doesn't make it doesn't actually make sense in terms of

what we already do. We have a whole innovation ecosystem that relies on uh grants from small business administration from DARPA from ARPA. These are small bets that the government

is making in terms of grants or loans into these companies without the expectation of any financial return. What I'm saying is that there are cases where now where the government has is

putting in hundreds of millions of dollars and even billions of dollars into one or two companies or into its particular sector. There should be more accountability there that the public has

in these cases. I I think the money can only go back to the treasury if there is money. >> True. >> And so that's the that's the fundamental

challenge. On average you lose money than making money in these early invest on average you make money but but at any moment of time you lose money. That's not the best

way to manage public money. Okay, I'm going to go to another question, sir. Um, oh, somebody jumped up behind you, the person I was calling, but that's fine. Go forth.

>> Thanks. I'm John Weber. Um, so the using the rare earth uh example, it sounds like uh the proponents argue that uh the government should be an investor of last resort, effectively investing in adverse

adversely selecting investments and that won't make money. So, and doesn't by doing that, it sounds like you're advocating just making bad bets. Is that is that the case?

>> No. I mean who who you generally don't win a debate by just making arguments that are wrong. You you um the rarer thing is is is a very specific case. It's something that the economy and

national security industry really needs that we don't currently have for lots of historical factors that frankly probably no one in this room had anything to do with. That's just a fact. And the the

policy question there is what is the shortest distance between two points? what is the ability to get from where we are today, which is problematic, to a point in the future we have a degree of

of independence on these supplies. And I think it is the case that the Trump administration is making lots of equity investments in mining companies for this. I I we think that's uh reasonable

that they'd be doing that and creative. We haven't I personally haven't studied them. Maybe Heidi has or or Laura has on it. I think our main point is that we should not for ideological reasons leave

it off the the toolkit. We should think about this as an option and as one mechanism to have a say in the corporate decision-m maybe in this case in fact to win a favor to to identify the winner

say this is going to succeed one way or another. >> We're not taking it off the table. We're saying it should be a last resort. Second of all, we're not we're not

downplaying it for ideological reasons. We're downplaying it because the practical problems involved, the risk takingaking involved, the vulnerability to cronymism, it's got all sorts of

problems. This isn't an ideological position. This is a practical position. I think when you think of it is practical also practically. What is the shortest way to get out of the

predicament we're in today with rare earths? And I think it would just be there is a problem with cronyism. Sure, it would be foolish to say that we're not going to think about equity just

because we've read a bunch of books and studies and gone to class and economic departments that showed us about all the downturns of the downside effects of that.

>> We have time for one more question. Yeah, >> if you could stand please. Thanks. >> Uh, with respect to Dr. Taylor Klay and your colleague, the rare earth's

situation, I'm sorry I didn't say my name. My name is Chrissa. The rare earth situation is interesting because arguably we're we're using equity as a last resort in that situation. We're in

a very dire situation and we have no way out. So are there other industries where the government has or should take equity stakes that are not rear earths that are not a last resort where it's either been

effective or you think >> Richard I think Richard addressed um SpaceX and the u the AI companies >> but we don't have equity stakes in those.

>> We're not talk we're defending the Trump administration and we're talking about a policy instrument and whether it should be in the toolkit for practitioners of public policy.

>> Thanks. I'll try one more, sir, in the back there, the second last row. >> Um, I actually want to reiterate this gentleman's question. You still haven't given any hard evidence of a Zach Wise

reporter at Eurasia Group, I should say, of an example of a company or the government that has bought a stake in a company that it didn't previously own and had some success. It doesn't mean

monetary success, but been it's been beneficial for national security. So if you have any hard examples, I'm willing to adhere to your argument. >> Well, I think we've got them. I mean,

this one >> going with that one. >> Yeah. I mean, uranium enrichment. We wouldn't have we wouldn't have nuclear energy if it weren't for the government

ownership of that industry. >> Commonwealth fusion. I mean, that's a private >> fusion uses hydrogen. Enrichment is for uranium.

>> I want I feel you're talking about question. [laughter] >> I come in with a fantastic final question. I hope it's fantastic. Hi Michelle New. Um so my last question is

what is the optimal institutional design for government as a shareholder? Who should hold the authority? >> Can they can they just go with that question? It's perfectly phrased. You

don't probably don't need the rest. >> I think they all know the the key terms. Sure. >> You go. Okay. >> Uh so optimal institutional design

um a independent agency that's at arms length um not controlled by the White House. uh the head of the agency would be appointed by a board not by um the political leadership. Uh there would be

a set of legal framework that included ground rules around transparency and accountability. I think our legislative branch would need to have a um

um a accountable committee right now. So for instance when I was in the defense department I interacted with four or five different committees on the various industrial policy tools that we have.

We'd have banking committee, financial services committee, armed services committees, uh commerce committee, intelligence committees, the appropriators. Uh that kind of uh

muddled framework really leaves opportunities for things to get lost and I think you're starting to see that in this in this current environment. >> Just a comment from the other side to

finish this round. the your opponent listed some guard rails. What do you think? >> I I think what Laura just described is a perfect system

that it is difficult to imagine. I mean, talking about being realistic, right? So, we are trying to deal with a national security issue. We need to act quickly. And yet the other side argues

that we need to create this incredibly perfect system before we can do this correctly. So just on that ground, I just don't think this is really a realistic policy instrument. We have to

rely on what we have. What we have is a system that supports basic research. And I I believe that the government should do a little bit more in terms of prototyping because a lot of the

technologies and knowledge coming from university labs have difficulties in commercialization in product development. Government should subsidize that part of the production process as

well and our government doesn't doesn't do that. So there are there are plenty of reasons to argue that the government should do more but taking equity share proactively is not first option that

that that I believe that that is >> I'm going to jump in because we're going to go to closing statements and it sounds like you were just starting to make yours. So that's a wrap on our

question and answer section. Uh I want to thank everybody for their questions. They were great. Uh and I'm sorry for all the folks that I didn't get to but we're going to be lingering afterwards.

So, please feel free to chat with the debaters. Now, we move on to our final round. And in our final round, our opponents each have 90 seconds to make one more time the case for the side that

they are arguing on. Uh Laura, you are up first. The floor is yours to make the case that government as shareholder is a proactive competitive strategy. >> Absolutely. Thank you. First, I want to

thank you all for uh participating in this debate and really listening and being part of the potential solutions. Our opponents are saying that the government is just it's too complicated

for the government to be able to do this that we don't have anything in place that's even possible. The truth is that we've already have institutions that are in place that we could all we need to do

is elevate them and do a little bit better with them. So for instance using the defense production act in a way that is more targeted and that also includes equity and and some of the institutions

around it. At the heart of this debate really is a simple question. When markets move too slowly to protect the nation, should the government have the ability to act? And we've already said

that it's okay for the government to have loans. It's okay for the government to have grants. It's okay for the government to have purchase commitments and all these other solutions. And what

we're saying is equity should be another part, another piece of that toolkit for the government to act when markets are moving too slowly. Thank you. >> Thank you very much,

[applause] >> Bob Posen. The floor is yours for your closing statement, please. >> Thank you. So I think we all agree that if the private market is moving too

slowly, the government ought to come in and move them more quickly. The question that we're saying is should the government take share ownership to do that? And

we misunderstand that being a minority shareholder gives you access to inside information. It doesn't. On the other hand, the government has lots of tools at its

disposal to get more information uh and especially for a government contractor like SpaceX. So there's no need for government ownership uh in order to get that information. There's no need for

government ownership in order to incentivize that company to go into the area. On the other hand, think about all the negatives that flow from government ownership. other companies are dissuaded

from going into the area. There is a lot of potential for cronyism. Donald Trump Jr. backed an investment fund which bought shares at a company called Vulcan. 3

months later, Vulcan got huge funding from the Department of Defense and the Department of Commerce. Was that on the economic merits or was that because of a political connection? We'll never know.

That's the problem when the government is [clears throat] making these big investments. So I submit that government ownership should be a last resort not [snorts] for ideological reasons but

for practical reasons that we can do these things without government ownership in most cases and we can avoid the lots of uh negatives that are associated with government ownership.

Thank you. [applause] So the thing about these debates is there's no clear one right answer and the truth is you hear great arguments all all around on both sides of it and I

must say that our opponents um I think actually made super points and I agree with it's maybe surprising I agree with most of the points they've made about the drawbacks limitations the risk of

cronyism the dead weight loss of these sort of things I'm very worried about it very worried about it um I don't necessarily agree with where they end up um and to me it turns on the difference

between being proactive and reactive in policy design. And I'm in favor of productivity in policy design. I think by definition, if you're at the last resort, you've already screwed up.

There's a problem that brewed and brewed and brewed and got to you and you have to break glass and take emergency measures to deal with it, which is very expensive and problematic. And I'd like

to get upstream of that and be open-minded and creative about the different instruments available to government as it tries to achieve the common good in one way or another with

full knowledge of the downsides of all the different instruments and the risks of how they can be applied and and I do think a lot of that knowledge actually has come up here like there there's a

lot of there's a lot of problems uh that can come with government ownership but it also creates some capabilities that the other policy insurance we have don't necessarily give us to the degree. And

so it's really in that spirit that I'd urge you to think about this proposition is say when you when you come to the table and you're working through a problem, should you just come in and

say, you know what, I can't even talk about in a policy of equity because I had this point of view and all this history and these things we've studied in the past or should you come in and

say, "No, let's think open-mindedly and creatively about the different tools and the different things we could do that might work in in this 21st century economy we have." Thank you very much.

Thank you. [applause] >> And uh rounding out our closing round, Yan Hong. >> Yeah. So Laura already identify one

reason that the government should be the last resort. She said that if we see that the market is moving too slowly, then the government should act. That logic already implies that the

government should not be the proactive actor. It should be a last resort uh actor. So she I think believes in what we are trying to argue. Government is incredibly complex and multi-dimensional

and I have a healthy respect that the government should be complex and should be multi-dimen dimensional. I don't want a government that does one thing and one thing only such as profits or another

thing. The last thing I want to say is that lot of the problems that I have heard from our opponents are actually created by the problems of our political system. The oversized role of the money

in our politics, the oversized role of the incredibly rich people in controlling the government contracts in controlling government regulations. I think that argument says that diagnosis

of our political system is all the more reason why we should not give an additional role to the government which is the ownership role by the government in private enterprises something that

this government has not really done has not really practiced on large scale so I don't have the confidence with the political system that we have that the government is going to do that job

adequately and well Thank you. >> Thank you. [applause] >> All right. Um, that is that is a wrap on the argument portion of the program and now we want to involve our audience

again by asking you to vote for a second time using your phones. I want to thank the Council on Foreign Relations for partnering with us and for hosting us here in New York. A big thanks to our

audience for your questions. And I want to thank of course our debaters Bob Posen, Yang Hang, Laura Teller, Khali, and Richard Falconroth for approaching this debate in the way they did with an

open mind uh with respect for bringing thoughtful disagreement to the table. And I want to ask you all just to as we're waiting for a couple of minutes, let's have a little chat if you can

stand in front of your table and if you come up in front of your table um just to talk through a little bit the experience of uh of the debate um that you had. I I found it interesting,

Richard, that you said that you actually agreed with a lot of what the other side said, which is a very risky thing to say during a debate. [laughter] >> No, it's it's how you add it up. I mean,

there it's very rarely is something that's just flat out wrong said in a debate, but how you synthesize it, how it adds up, how you weigh it against all the other objectives that you've got.

You can reach different your different end points, different conclusions. Did you on the other side hear arguments from your opponents that you actually thought had some some merit, made you

think twice? And >> yeah, I think one of the arguments you make is that if the government is going to pour uh I think Laura made it pour uh millions or billions into a company,

there should be some economic return for the government. And I think that uh when the government bailed out the banks in 2008, they got warrants and that was a good thing. if they hadn't gotten

warrants, then they just would have enriched the shareholders. So, I think that's a that's that's an argument uh that that has some uh [clears throat and snorts] impact on me.

>> Thoughts? >> Uh I I would also add I think it's interesting uh talking about this topic uh because we all come from very different backgrounds and ways in which

we're doing things. And so I've been in government. Um I first went into government. It was the Clinton administration, the very end of the Clinton administration, the Bush

administration, and then the Obama and then um and then so on and so forth. And I think over time I because of where I've sat in these agencies, I see that there are there's expertise and that

there's um real ability to be able to execute on a lot of these more complex ideas, economic policy ideas than perhaps someone who's been has not been inside uh would see. But I think it's

really fascinating to be able to have this conversation. And I think the most important thing is that we're actually having the conversation instead of just letting it letting things happen and not

thinking about the implications. >> I often tell people when I go out and make presentations that I'm an academic so I'm used to being treated very rudely. [laughter]

I don't mind people interrupting me. Yeah. And unfortunately my children have learned [laughter] very fast. Yeah. >> Thanks very much. Um All right. One thing I'd like to do before we sit down

for the results, I just want to ask all four of you to shake hands with each other. We'd like to do that as as a wrap. >> Hi.

>> Thank you. [applause] >> Okay, let's go to our seats for the results. >> Okay, so the way that we phrase the

question, um, government is shareholder proactive competitive strategy or last resort. The way you voted beforehand, the side for competitive strategy had 26.7% of the audience. Last resort had

53.3% and undecided were 20%. Afterwards, competitive strategy dropped a tiny bit, 26.4% down from 26.7%. Last resort went up 14.6% to 67.5% undecided uh came in at 5.7%. It means that side

arguing that this it should be a last resort proved more persuasive with this audience. So our congratulations to them and I want to thank all of you for being here [applause] at Open to Debate. We'll

see you next time.

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